Saud trump them
Trump said that the American side is ready to decide on "severe punishment" if it is proved that the Saudi authorities are involved in the disappearance of the journalist Hashukdzhi.
On October 2, the journalist entered the Saudi embassy in Turkey and did not come out - he was apparently killed and dismembered right there.
In Saudi Arabia, they can take more serious measures in response to possible sanctions by the US and the UK.
“The Kingdom completely rejects any threats or attempts to offend him with statements about the introduction of economic sanctions, the use of political pressure or false accusations that do not shake the kingdom, its leading position and place in the Arab and Islamic world. The Kingdom confirms that it will respond with more serious measures if it takes any measures against it, ”the Saudis declare.
The poker face from Saud is most surprising because they were completely burned - the journalist interrogated and murdered on the Apple Watch, which was synchronized with his phone, left by him in the car.
Although ... maybe they are right?
When the Saudis broke the twin towers, they did not declare sanctions, and then quarrel for a journalist? Something is hard to believe. After the September 11 terrorist attack, everyone was blamed on Iran, although almost all the terrorists were Saudis.
The Americans in the current situation until the last will do poker face and focus on "if it is proved," although in the same Magnitsky case they did not need any evidence, so they hurried to find a replacement for the Jackson-Vanik amendment.
Acceptance that the Saudis can get away from the water is Merkel. She is silent. She is worried about gays in Chechnya, freedom of speech in Turkey - she cares about everything, she speaks about everything, but here is silence. Why did it happen?
In the US, they want to transfer the "oil kingdom" to Putin
US senators and congressmen want to push the price of oil far beyond $ 100 a barrel. The introduction of US sanctions against Saudi Arabia in accordance with the so-called “Magnitsky Act” will entail such consequences on the oil market that the current price increase will seem something petty and insignificant. And if the sanctions are really strong, then $ 100 is not the limit.This will not be very profitable for the American economy, but when it comes to annoy the allies of President Trump, many American politicians and officials simply refuse the brakes, common sense and an elementary sense of self-preservation.
President Trump will be against such a scenario, but under current political conditions he often has his hands tied. The scandal surrounding the alleged murder of Saudi journalist and dissident Jamal Khashokhji (Kashikchi) in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul may work as an ideal pretext for new sanctions, and there are already enough people who want to introduce them. In some ways, Riyadh is faced with a problem that Moscow is experiencing in its relations with the current American elite, which perceives sanctions as a way to resolve internal political conflicts and ignores any foreign policy consequences.
It is worth briefing to retell the plot of the scandal: in Istanbul, after a visit to the Saudi consulate, the Saudi dissident and journalist Jamal Hashohji disappeared. The Turkish authorities, the Western media, as well as some Western intelligence agencies suspect (or even argue) that he was killed on the territory of the consulate.The incident caused international resonance due to the fact that Khashokhdzhi was not just an opponent of the Saudi leadership, but also came from a very rich family, a resident of the United States and a political columnist for the very famous and influential American edition of The Washington Post, considered one of the mouthpieces of the US Democratic Party. The disappearance of a dissident so deeply integrated into the American establishment could not go unnoticed, but the scandal quickly went beyond the diplomatic framework.
Taking into account the fact that for Trump the issue of cooperation and maintaining good relations with Saudi Arabia is of critical importance, his opponents from the American establishment immediately took the opportunity to strike at US-Saudi relations. Without the assistance of Saudi Arabia, Trump could not impose sanctions on Iran without causing catastrophic consequences for the oil market. Riyadh compensated a part of the “dropped out” from the Iranian oil market. Because Trump does not want to notice the scandal and spoil relations with Riyadh, but they are trying to make him do it.
Senators Bob Corker, Bob Menendez (Chairman of the Senate’s Foreign Policy Committee), Lindsay Graham and Patrick Leahy (Chairman of the Senate Foreign Programs and Operations Committee) wrote a letter to Donald Trump asking him to investigate the disappearance of a dissident in accordance with the “global act Magnitsky, which in fact was adopted during the time of Obama to legislate attempts to "punish" Russia for an independent foreign and domestic policy. By and large, the US president is trying to impose the launch of a process that should 120 days later (this is exactly the term that the “Magnitsky Act” implies) will end with the imposition of sanctions against Riyadh.
Journalists have already taken an interest in Trump’s response, and it was expectedly negative. He pointed out several important points: the missing dissident is not a US citizen, and Saudi Arabia buys American goods and services (mostly weapons) for $ 120 billion a year, therefore, such a client should not be disregarded. Behind the brackets, statements by the American leader remained the key role of Saudi Arabia in restraining the rise in oil prices after the introduction of tough anti-Iran sanctions.
Moreover, it is impossible not to notice that this is far from the first scandal associated with the peculiarities of the observance of human rights in this region, but all Trump's predecessors turned a blind eye to previous scandals. So, the current episode has a purely political background.
The influential Republican senator Lindsey Graham has already “responded” to the president, referring to a quote by the late Republican senator and sworn enemy Trump John McCain, who said that in some cases it is necessary to focus exclusively on values and principles. From the American leader now, under the pretext of protecting values and principles, they are demanding to spoil relations with Riyadh. Moreover, the first real sanctions have already been introduced.
Due to public and media pressure, Western companies such as the Virgin Group, billionaire Richard Branson, and the Bloomberg agency Michael Bloomberg, are refusing joint projects with Saudi public and private entities. Under threat even the first wrestling show, on the organization of which the Saudi authorities have worked for several years. Further pressure on US companies working with Saudi partners will only increase.Similar appeals are already being heard in the European Union, especially since the European Parliament’s Human Rights Committee has joined the scandal.
If you look at things pragmatically (and this is exactly how you should look at everything related to foreign policy), the isolation of Saudi Arabia, as well as possible American and European (formal and informal) sanctions against Saudi Arabia, provide quite extensive opportunities for Russia.
Their specific shape depends on the specific problems that our Saudi partners will face.
If they are disconnected from SWIFT, then you need to help them use the Russian equivalent.
If they are denied access to the real estate markets in San Francisco and London, then they can show the potential of Sochi and St. Petersburg.
If they are barred from investing in US and European securities, then they can and should be offered excellent investment opportunities in our companies and securities, including Russian bonds.
If the Americans and Europeans turn out to be completely reckless in their sanctioning binge, then there may even be a chance for the accelerated creation of an "oil-ruble system."Sometimes errors of geopolitical opponents create such conditions that it is a sin not to use. Russia will not miss her.